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UBS gives America a recession check-up and sees a 93% recession probability, 'soggy' economy ahead

UBS gives America a recession check-up and sees a 93% recession probability, 'soggy' economy ahead
business9/2/2025

"Stable but elevated" isn't something you want to hear in a medical checkup, or in a recession likelihood outlook.

There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of a heart attack, a favorite metaphor of hedge fund ... [4640 chars]