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Odds of a government shutdown rise to 70% in prediction markets

Odds of a government shutdown rise to 70% in prediction markets
business9/29/2025

Users on Kalshi and Polymarket upped their bets on a government closure after the Labor Department said it won’t release a key jobs report in a shutdown.

Prediction markets are pricing in about a 70% chance the federal government will shut down on Wednesday, reflecting growing skepticism that lawmakers will strike a last-minute deal to keep agencies funded. Users on Kalshi and Polymarket increased the... [1002 chars]